Case studies

What the work looks like when it reaches a committee.

Anonymised engagement patterns. Each case names the decision, the evidence assembled and what the client was able to do with it.

Template note — remove before publishing. These three entries are structural examples written to show the format. Replace the challenge, evidence and outcome text with real (anonymised) mandates, then delete this note. Do not publish descriptions of work that was not undertaken.
Case 01

Market entry sequencing under contradictory signals

Investment institution

Challenge

A European investment institution was assessing entry into two Central Asian markets. Public announcements described a liberalising regime; licensing practice, currency controls and local-content requirements pointed elsewhere. The investment committee needed one defensible sequence, not two country profiles.

What we did

Built a source hierarchy for each market, separating statute, implementing regulation and observed practice. Mapped the licensing path against comparable entrants, then tested three policy scenarios against committee thresholds. Every claim was dated and attributed.

What the client received

  • A prioritised market sequence with the regulatory condition attached to each step
  • A one-page exposure table for the committee, with confidence levels stated
  • A list of items to verify locally before committing capital
Case 02

Project viability after a tariff and permitting rewrite

Energy & mining

Challenge

A developer had a settled resource case and an unsettled policy case. Proposed changes to export duties and permitting authority would alter project economics, but the draft texts were ambiguous and the timeline was contested.

What we did

Reconstructed the legislative path from draft to adoption, identified which provisions were binding versus declaratory, and modelled the economics under three adoption outcomes. Interviews and local reporting were used only to corroborate what the texts already showed.

What the client received

  • A provision-by-provision comparison of the draft against the current regime
  • Scenario economics with the trigger events that separate them
  • A monitoring list naming the institutions and documents to watch
Case 03

Corridor exposure and supplier substitution

Manufacturing & trade

Challenge

A manufacturer's inbound components moved through a single corridor with three border crossings. Management knew the route was concentrated but not where the delay and cost actually accumulated, or which alternatives were genuinely available at volume.

What we did

Mapped the route node by node, then tested each node against published capacity, border procedure and observed throughput. Assessed two alternative alignments for cost, transit time and political exposure rather than distance alone.

What the client received

  • A node-level exposure map distinguishing structural from seasonal constraints
  • Two substitution options with the trade-offs stated in commercial terms
  • Early-warning indicators to monitor at each border
Confidentiality

Discretion is part of the deliverable.

Client relationships, source conversations and unpublished analysis are not disclosed. Cases are anonymised and generalised: sector, decision type and output are described; identities, countries and figures are withheld. Where a client permits a reference, it is given directly and privately rather than published here.

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