Four steps keep the work focused and useful.
Depth varies by deadline and source availability. Findings distinguish documented facts, interpretation and open questions.
Define the decision
Agree what needs to be decided and what a useful answer must establish before research begins.
- Decision owner, audience and deadline
- Country, sector and stakeholder scope
- Known assumptions and constraints
Build the evidence base
Prioritize primary documents where available, then compare them with credible reporting, institutional research and market information.
- Official policy documents, agency notices and public records
- Local and regional reporting alongside international coverage
- Company disclosures, trade data and sector research where relevant
Test explanations and scenarios
Compare plausible interpretations and identify the assumptions or developments that would change the assessment.
- Drivers, constraints and actor incentives
- Baseline, upside and downside scenarios when useful
- Assumptions that carry the most weight
Make implications actionable
Put the judgment first, show the supporting evidence and state material limits and next steps.
- Executive summary and direct answer to the research question
- Supporting evidence and competing interpretations
- Decision implications, options and trade-offs